Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.000177 0.000196 0.000217 0.000241 0.000268 0.000297 0.000332
2025-08-10 0.000140 0.000167 0.000199 0.000239 0.000288 0.000347 0.000423
2025-08-17 0.000117 0.000148 0.000186 0.000237 0.000304 0.000390 0.000509
2025-08-24 0.000100 0.000132 0.000174 0.000232 0.000314 0.000423 0.000585
2025-08-31 0.000087 0.000118 0.000162 0.000225 0.000317 0.000447 0.000649
2025-09-07 0.000078 0.000111 0.000156 0.000225 0.000330 0.000485 0.000737
2025-09-14 0.000072 0.000105 0.000153 0.000229 0.000347 0.000530 0.000842
2025-09-21 0.000066 0.000098 0.000146 0.000224 0.000351 0.000555 0.000917
2025-09-28 0.000059 0.000089 0.000137 0.000216 0.000348 0.000567 0.000970
2025-10-05 0.000055 0.000086 0.000135 0.000218 0.000363 0.000611 0.001085
2025-10-12 0.000053 0.000084 0.000134 0.000223 0.000382 0.000663 0.001222
2025-10-19 0.000049 0.000080 0.000131 0.000223 0.000393 0.000701 0.001337
2025-10-26 0.000047 0.000078 0.000130 0.000228 0.000412 0.000760 0.001506
2025-11-02 0.000043 0.000074 0.000125 0.000225 0.000418 0.000794 0.001632
2025-11-09 0.000040 0.000070 0.000121 0.000222 0.000425 0.000832 0.001772
2025-11-16 0.000037 0.000066 0.000116 0.000218 0.000427 0.000861 0.001896
2025-11-23 0.000034 0.000061 0.000110 0.000211 0.000423 0.000874 0.001988
2025-11-30 0.000032 0.000059 0.000108 0.000211 0.000434 0.000923 0.002171
2025-12-07 0.000031 0.000057 0.000107 0.000214 0.000452 0.000988 0.002407
2025-12-14 0.000029 0.000054 0.000103 0.000210 0.000453 0.001015 0.002550
2025-12-21 0.000027 0.000051 0.000098 0.000202 0.000444 0.001017 0.002629
2025-12-28 0.000026 0.000050 0.000097 0.000205 0.000460 0.001084 0.002895
2026-01-04 0.000025 0.000049 0.000097 0.000210 0.000482 0.001165 0.003222